Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000550 0.000636 0.000727 0.000831 0.000946 0.001069 0.001211
2025-06-22 0.000415 0.000531 0.000664 0.000827 0.001019 0.001237 0.001501
2025-06-29 0.000340 0.000467 0.000620 0.000817 0.001058 0.001341 0.001696
2025-07-06 0.000280 0.000411 0.000578 0.000800 0.001082 0.001424 0.001865
2025-07-13 0.000248 0.000386 0.000568 0.000818 0.001146 0.001553 0.002089
2025-07-20 0.000220 0.000362 0.000556 0.000830 0.001199 0.001668 0.002297
2025-07-27 0.000190 0.000331 0.000530 0.000821 0.001223 0.001744 0.002455
2025-08-03 0.000163 0.000301 0.000502 0.000806 0.001236 0.001804 0.002593
2025-08-10 0.000147 0.000284 0.000493 0.000816 0.001281 0.001906 0.002788
2025-08-17 0.000131 0.000266 0.000479 0.000816 0.001313 0.001991 0.002960
2025-08-24 0.000111 0.000239 0.000449 0.000790 0.001304 0.002019 0.003054
2025-08-31 0.000094 0.000216 0.000422 0.000766 0.001296 0.002046 0.003147
2025-09-07 0.000083 0.000201 0.000408 0.000764 0.001321 0.002120 0.003309
2025-09-14 0.000074 0.000188 0.000396 0.000762 0.001345 0.002196 0.003474
2025-09-21 0.000064 0.000174 0.000380 0.000751 0.001356 0.002250 0.003609
2025-09-28 0.000055 0.000159 0.000361 0.000736 0.001357 0.002289 0.003723
2025-10-05 0.000051 0.000154 0.000362 0.000753 0.001411 0.002407 0.003953
2025-10-12 0.000047 0.000149 0.000359 0.000764 0.001455 0.002512 0.004165
2025-10-19 0.000041 0.000138 0.000346 0.000756 0.001466 0.002566 0.004304
2025-10-26 0.000035 0.000127 0.000331 0.000742 0.001467 0.002605 0.004419
2025-11-02 0.000032 0.000122 0.000328 0.000751 0.001506 0.002703 0.004625
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000116 0.000321 0.000751 0.001532 0.002780 0.004800
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000104 0.000301 0.000727 0.001512 0.002785 0.004866